Race 9A

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hannah Steadman 11.3% 11.2% 12.0% 8.9% 11.7% 9.1% 9.5% 6.3% 5.9% 5.1% 3.5% 2.8% 2.0% 0.7%
Lucy Wilmot 5.6% 6.2% 7.8% 6.5% 7.3% 6.1% 8.1% 7.9% 9.4% 8.8% 9.9% 8.1% 5.4% 2.9%
Dana Haig 6.6% 6.8% 8.0% 7.4% 5.4% 8.6% 7.1% 8.6% 9.2% 8.2% 8.8% 7.5% 5.5% 2.3%
Louisa Nordstrom 11.8% 13.1% 11.4% 11.1% 10.4% 11.5% 6.9% 8.1% 4.9% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Alie Toppa 12.7% 12.0% 13.5% 11.5% 10.6% 8.6% 7.9% 6.4% 6.6% 4.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.5%
Talia Toland 5.5% 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 6.8% 6.5% 9.1% 8.5% 6.3% 9.5% 10.3% 8.8% 9.2% 5.4%
Delaney Bamford 5.6% 5.9% 6.1% 5.5% 5.8% 6.5% 8.6% 7.4% 8.7% 8.2% 10.1% 10.6% 7.2% 3.8%
Maia Agerup 12.9% 15.1% 10.5% 11.1% 10.4% 8.1% 7.2% 6.8% 6.2% 5.0% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Madelynn Widmeier 5.6% 3.8% 4.7% 5.6% 5.0% 6.8% 6.8% 9.7% 9.2% 8.2% 10.0% 12.3% 7.9% 4.4%
Emma White 8.7% 8.2% 8.8% 11.2% 8.3% 10.1% 8.2% 8.6% 7.1% 6.9% 5.8% 5.1% 2.0% 1.0%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 7.2% 6.5% 5.3% 9.3% 8.1% 8.3% 8.7% 8.3% 9.3% 8.0% 6.6% 6.4% 5.8% 2.2%
Emma Marston 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 3.3% 5.0% 4.6% 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 11.5% 10.9% 12.1% 12.5% 13.6%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.7% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.5% 4.8% 6.3% 7.6% 11.4% 19.2% 30.5%
Olivia Keefe 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 6.2% 5.3% 6.5% 9.6% 20.6% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.