Race 1B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christine Klingler 23.6% 20.9% 15.2% 11.4% 8.7% 6.5% 5.4% 3.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 16.3% 16.3% 14.9% 13.2% 10.8% 8.9% 7.2% 5.3% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Kaneti 11.4% 11.5% 11.7% 12.3% 10.3% 10.1% 9.4% 7.5% 6.4% 5.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Liza Toppa 5.0% 8.9% 8.9% 7.7% 8.9% 9.9% 10.0% 9.9% 9.3% 7.8% 7.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Alexandra Wagner 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 3.3% 2.9% 4.3% 6.1% 8.6% 12.1% 20.3% 33.6%
Rebecca Read 6.6% 5.6% 7.0% 7.9% 9.5% 9.8% 9.3% 9.2% 10.1% 8.4% 7.1% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7%
Darden Purrington 3.5% 2.6% 4.9% 4.6% 6.0% 6.5% 5.2% 7.5% 8.5% 11.1% 13.1% 11.1% 9.8% 5.6%
Kathryn Hall 9.7% 10.5% 10.9% 10.0% 9.3% 9.7% 9.8% 7.9% 8.1% 5.0% 4.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Grace Mooradian 6.6% 6.2% 5.9% 8.1% 7.6% 10.6% 9.6% 11.1% 8.5% 9.5% 7.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.8%
Lulu Russell 4.1% 4.1% 4.6% 5.1% 7.5% 8.9% 8.4% 8.9% 10.0% 10.2% 11.4% 8.5% 5.6% 2.7%
Lolly Vasilion 6.5% 6.2% 6.6% 10.1% 9.0% 7.3% 9.8% 9.4% 9.6% 8.1% 7.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
Leah Harper 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 1.7% 3.2% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 5.5% 7.3% 11.1% 16.4% 20.9% 19.5%
Charlotte Lenz 3.6% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 5.2% 5.4% 7.4% 9.7% 8.5% 12.4% 10.6% 11.8% 8.8% 3.8%
Katherine Byrnes 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 5.2% 6.0% 7.9% 12.3% 22.5% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.