Race 2B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lulu Russell 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 6.6% 7.3% 7.1% 9.8% 8.5% 10.5% 9.8% 9.4% 9.0% 5.5% 2.3%
Emma Kaneti 11.3% 11.8% 13.2% 12.1% 9.7% 9.9% 10.1% 7.9% 5.7% 3.2% 2.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Rebecca Read 7.7% 7.4% 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 8.3% 9.6% 8.3% 10.8% 10.5% 7.1% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8%
Christine Klingler 23.1% 19.4% 15.1% 12.5% 11.3% 7.1% 5.6% 2.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Darden Purrington 2.3% 2.8% 3.2% 4.7% 3.7% 6.2% 6.4% 8.6% 7.0% 12.4% 12.0% 13.3% 11.2% 6.2%
Liza Toppa 6.6% 6.1% 7.3% 9.1% 9.2% 11.0% 7.9% 10.3% 9.3% 8.0% 7.0% 5.4% 2.5% 0.3%
Kathryn Hall 9.5% 11.7% 8.9% 10.6% 13.4% 7.9% 9.2% 8.1% 8.9% 4.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Charlotte Lenz 3.8% 3.9% 5.8% 4.1% 4.7% 6.0% 6.6% 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 13.0% 10.7% 9.0% 4.0%
Leah Harper 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 3.0% 2.9% 5.0% 7.6% 11.2% 15.4% 22.6% 19.7%
Sophie Hibben 13.7% 16.2% 15.4% 11.9% 10.9% 9.1% 8.7% 6.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Lolly Vasilion 6.6% 5.8% 7.2% 7.7% 8.4% 9.4% 9.2% 11.4% 10.0% 8.4% 6.7% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1%
Alexandra Wagner 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.3% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 4.0% 6.2% 8.4% 14.8% 20.6% 31.9%
Katherine Byrnes 1.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 4.3% 5.6% 9.3% 13.0% 20.3% 33.1%
Grace Mooradian 6.9% 6.5% 8.0% 7.7% 7.6% 10.7% 9.2% 9.7% 9.5% 10.0% 7.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.