Race 4B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kathryn Hall 8.6% 11.6% 11.3% 8.6% 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% 8.2% 6.8% 5.7% 4.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.4%
Sophie Hibben 17.4% 14.8% 15.0% 13.6% 11.0% 8.7% 7.3% 5.1% 2.9% 1.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Lulu Russell 4.3% 5.7% 4.7% 6.8% 7.2% 5.6% 7.9% 8.0% 11.7% 9.9% 12.8% 7.8% 4.9% 2.7%
Lolly Vasilion 5.6% 7.3% 8.2% 7.7% 8.1% 10.0% 9.4% 10.5% 7.8% 9.2% 8.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9%
Christine Klingler 20.1% 20.4% 15.8% 13.4% 9.2% 8.7% 5.0% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rebecca Read 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 10.2% 8.6% 6.9% 5.8% 3.1% 0.4%
Emma Kaneti 13.0% 12.0% 11.7% 12.5% 10.6% 9.3% 8.8% 8.8% 5.1% 4.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Charlotte Lenz 4.3% 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 5.9% 6.3% 5.6% 8.8% 9.1% 11.4% 9.9% 12.2% 9.1% 4.4%
Grace Mooradian 6.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.3% 8.5% 10.8% 10.1% 9.6% 10.3% 10.1% 6.2% 5.0% 2.7% 0.9%
Liza Toppa 6.6% 6.9% 7.3% 9.0% 8.8% 9.3% 10.1% 8.7% 10.6% 8.9% 7.4% 4.3% 1.4% 0.7%
Darden Purrington 3.3% 2.5% 3.3% 3.4% 5.7% 4.7% 6.6% 8.4% 9.0% 9.6% 14.0% 13.1% 10.3% 6.1%
Katherine Byrnes 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 4.5% 6.0% 8.1% 13.6% 20.9% 33.7%
Alexandra Wagner 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 4.0% 6.5% 8.4% 13.5% 19.9% 32.8%
Leah Harper 1.6% 1.0% 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 4.5% 6.0% 5.7% 7.5% 8.0% 16.1% 23.5% 16.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.