Race 5B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Kaneti 11.7% 11.7% 13.7% 11.0% 11.4% 9.6% 8.8% 7.5% 5.4% 4.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Christine Klingler 25.1% 20.9% 13.5% 14.0% 10.5% 6.1% 4.4% 2.0% 1.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Hall 8.8% 10.8% 10.5% 10.4% 9.7% 9.9% 10.0% 9.5% 7.7% 6.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Lolly Vasilion 5.7% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 9.1% 9.5% 9.9% 10.4% 9.5% 9.4% 6.5% 3.9% 2.3% 0.6%
Grace Mooradian 5.3% 6.2% 7.7% 9.6% 8.5% 8.4% 10.9% 9.5% 9.5% 8.6% 6.9% 6.2% 1.8% 0.9%
Leah Harper 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 4.2% 5.8% 7.8% 10.6% 16.8% 19.0% 20.2%
Rebecca Read 8.0% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% 10.2% 9.9% 10.9% 9.5% 9.1% 7.8% 5.3% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Charlotte Lenz 4.2% 3.9% 4.6% 5.4% 5.2% 6.2% 6.5% 8.6% 9.3% 12.4% 10.0% 11.3% 8.1% 4.3%
Darden Purrington 4.1% 2.4% 3.8% 2.7% 3.9% 5.4% 5.9% 8.9% 10.6% 10.4% 15.7% 11.1% 10.1% 5.0%
Sophie Hibben 14.7% 15.3% 14.7% 13.7% 10.8% 9.8% 8.1% 4.9% 4.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Alexandra Wagner 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 2.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.3% 5.8% 9.1% 13.3% 21.9% 30.5%
Liza Toppa 6.5% 5.9% 8.8% 9.2% 9.3% 10.8% 9.8% 10.8% 9.0% 6.7% 6.2% 3.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Katherine Byrnes 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 5.1% 8.3% 13.5% 20.6% 32.5%
Meredith Julian 2.5% 3.3% 2.8% 4.1% 6.0% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 8.8% 11.9% 13.1% 12.4% 10.6% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.