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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+5.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+2.11vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+2.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.56vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+0.19vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.21+0.57vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.67+2.67vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12-2.24vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.52-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.13-4.27vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.35-0.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.10vs Predicted
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14Tulane University0.32-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.11Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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3.44Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.19Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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11.5Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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11.47Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 16.7% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.9% | 22.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Liza Toppa | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Leah Harper | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 21.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 23.3% | 28.7% |
| Darden Purrington | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 20.6% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.