← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.38+2.44vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.12+4.48vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.49+2.61vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.69+1.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.15+1.76vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.02-1.61vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+1.86vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.85vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.21-2.51vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.52-1.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami0.67-0.15vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.13-5.32vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University0.32-1.51vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.35-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
6.48Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.61Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.1Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.76University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
4.39Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
-
8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.49College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
-
8.62Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
-
10.85University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
-
6.68University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
11.49Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
-
11.39Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 24.0% | 21.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 16.1% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Darden Purrington | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| Liza Toppa | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Leah Harper | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 32.1% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.