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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+5.51vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.73+14.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+3.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley2.60+14.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+8.96vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+5.77vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-0.83vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.69+3.37vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.02+6.21vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California3.16+4.50vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+0.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.89-6.07vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-3.45vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University2.36+4.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.34-1.61vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-6.82vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.92-0.83vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+3.92vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-5.84vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine2.83-3.52vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego2.19-0.84vs Predicted
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22University of Vermont3.62-10.51vs Predicted
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23Roger Williams University3.07-7.80vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis1.68-1.16vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon1.97-3.62vs Predicted
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27University of Notre Dame1.25-2.18vs Predicted
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28Texas A&M University1.27-3.48vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands2.77-12.35vs Predicted
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30Western Washington University2.02-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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16.57Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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18.02University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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13.96University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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11.77College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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11.37Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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15.21Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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11.01California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.0%1st Place
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5.93Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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18.84Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.39U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.18Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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16.17University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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21.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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13.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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16.48University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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20.16University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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15.2Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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22.84University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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21.38University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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24.82University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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24.52Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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16.65California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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21.3Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sean Kelly | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| Eric Horrocks | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Lee | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% |
| Andrew Balter | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 26.4% |
| Robert Long | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 26.7% |
| Gregory Dair | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.