Race 8B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christine Klingler 23.2% 21.5% 15.9% 11.3% 7.9% 7.7% 5.4% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Rebecca Read 7.2% 8.1% 7.7% 8.3% 10.4% 8.9% 9.7% 9.5% 9.7% 7.5% 7.4% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0%
Grace Mooradian 6.9% 6.6% 9.1% 7.4% 7.8% 9.4% 10.0% 8.6% 10.1% 9.1% 7.2% 5.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Emma Kaneti 10.4% 12.8% 11.4% 11.6% 10.4% 12.7% 9.0% 7.1% 5.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Kathryn Hall 8.0% 8.5% 10.3% 12.0% 12.0% 10.5% 8.7% 7.6% 7.8% 6.5% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Meredith Julian 3.1% 2.7% 2.7% 4.3% 4.2% 4.4% 7.0% 7.3% 8.9% 11.6% 13.2% 13.8% 9.2% 7.6%
Liza Toppa 8.7% 7.5% 9.0% 8.3% 10.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.7% 8.0% 8.6% 5.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Lolly Vasilion 7.2% 6.9% 8.5% 8.1% 8.4% 9.6% 8.7% 11.2% 7.8% 6.8% 8.0% 5.2% 3.2% 0.4%
Sophie Hibben 15.0% 15.8% 12.9% 14.0% 12.3% 8.9% 7.1% 5.4% 4.6% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Darden Purrington 3.0% 2.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 6.0% 7.8% 8.0% 9.0% 11.0% 12.0% 12.7% 10.2% 5.9%
Katherine Byrnes 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 4.0% 4.4% 5.8% 8.6% 13.1% 20.4% 33.4%
Leah Harper 1.6% 1.0% 2.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 4.2% 4.1% 6.2% 8.4% 10.2% 16.8% 19.8% 18.4%
Charlotte Lenz 3.9% 3.7% 4.2% 5.4% 5.7% 6.1% 7.0% 10.3% 10.4% 10.1% 11.0% 11.5% 7.4% 3.3%
Alexandra Wagner 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 1.5% 3.1% 3.7% 5.7% 7.3% 8.1% 11.8% 22.1% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.