Race 9B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Kaneti 10.8% 12.7% 13.7% 10.6% 11.8% 10.3% 9.4% 6.2% 5.6% 3.9% 2.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Christine Klingler 24.0% 19.1% 18.1% 13.9% 8.7% 5.3% 5.5% 2.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Mooradian 6.3% 6.8% 8.6% 8.5% 9.4% 7.3% 9.1% 10.8% 9.7% 9.1% 6.7% 5.5% 1.5% 0.7%
Kathryn Hall 8.5% 10.1% 11.1% 10.1% 9.9% 12.9% 8.8% 8.0% 7.1% 7.5% 3.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Darden Purrington 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.4% 8.6% 8.2% 9.6% 13.2% 13.9% 9.9% 5.1%
Rebecca Read 6.9% 6.3% 5.6% 9.7% 8.3% 11.2% 9.5% 10.1% 9.7% 7.2% 8.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
Liza Toppa 7.6% 8.5% 8.7% 8.8% 10.5% 9.1% 10.1% 9.4% 8.6% 7.9% 5.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Sophie Hibben 16.6% 16.8% 12.6% 12.6% 10.0% 10.4% 7.4% 5.1% 4.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 4.8% 2.9% 3.1% 4.9% 5.1% 6.1% 7.1% 9.2% 11.4% 11.9% 12.1% 10.7% 7.2% 3.5%
Leah Harper 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.3% 2.3% 3.8% 6.0% 5.4% 8.5% 10.5% 15.5% 19.1% 20.7%
Meredith Julian 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 3.8% 4.6% 5.7% 7.1% 6.6% 10.0% 11.2% 13.1% 11.9% 11.5% 6.2%
Lolly Vasilion 5.9% 6.8% 7.4% 8.2% 10.2% 9.6% 10.0% 10.6% 8.6% 7.9% 7.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
Alexandra Wagner 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 3.5% 4.1% 6.0% 8.8% 12.9% 21.5% 30.6%
Katherine Byrnes 0.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 5.6% 6.2% 7.8% 11.7% 22.4% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.