Race 10B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christine Klingler 25.0% 20.5% 15.4% 10.8% 9.8% 7.3% 4.5% 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Lolly Vasilion 6.4% 8.2% 8.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.9% 9.2% 9.6% 10.7% 8.6% 5.5% 3.6% 2.0% 0.6%
Kathryn Hall 9.4% 9.7% 10.8% 10.6% 10.1% 10.7% 9.5% 10.0% 6.6% 6.1% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Charlotte Lenz 2.8% 3.7% 4.6% 5.7% 5.0% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 9.7% 10.8% 12.3% 11.6% 7.8% 3.9%
Sophie Hibben 13.5% 15.7% 15.6% 13.0% 10.8% 10.3% 8.1% 6.4% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Mooradian 5.9% 6.9% 6.2% 9.0% 8.6% 9.0% 9.6% 10.8% 9.4% 7.9% 8.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.5%
Rebecca Read 7.4% 7.5% 8.4% 9.1% 11.4% 8.6% 8.4% 10.0% 9.1% 8.4% 5.8% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Liza Toppa 7.9% 8.1% 9.2% 7.6% 9.2% 8.2% 10.8% 9.7% 7.9% 7.3% 6.6% 4.9% 2.3% 0.3%
Darden Purrington 3.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.3% 5.3% 5.0% 6.3% 7.7% 10.3% 13.1% 12.9% 12.4% 10.0% 4.5%
Meredith Julian 2.9% 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 5.9% 7.6% 6.6% 9.4% 9.9% 11.7% 14.4% 11.1% 7.0%
Emma Kaneti 11.6% 11.2% 10.3% 12.8% 10.6% 9.4% 10.0% 8.6% 6.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Alexandra Wagner 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 7.5% 8.8% 13.2% 20.1% 31.8%
Leah Harper 1.9% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 3.7% 3.6% 4.2% 6.0% 7.8% 11.4% 15.4% 18.5% 19.3%
Katherine Byrnes 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 6.4% 5.2% 7.7% 11.2% 23.0% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.