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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.44+2.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+1.93vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94-0.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83-2.22vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.78-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Tufts University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.93Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.71Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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1.78Tufts University2.830.5%1st Place
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4.89Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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4.29Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Powers | 11.5% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 26.5% | 13.9% | 8.9% |
| Elena Gonick | 7.3% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 24.7% | 17.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 21.7% | 26.7% | 24.3% | 16.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 51.4% | 27.1% | 14.7% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Holt | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 23.2% | 47.5% |
| William Crane | 4.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 28.3% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.