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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+2.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.44+1.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.21+0.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94-1.66vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.32vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.78-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.0Tufts University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University1.210.2%1st Place
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2.34Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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4.68Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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3.96Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 11.7% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| Lindsay Powers | 21.3% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 6.5% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 17.6% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 9.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 33.6% | 25.5% | 23.0% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| John Holt | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 44.0% |
| William Crane | 9.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 24.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.