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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+1.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.21+1.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+0.78vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+0.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94-2.43vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.78-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University1.210.2%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.69Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University1.940.3%1st Place
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4.07Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 29.9% | 26.1% | 21.3% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 15.1% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 10.8% |
| Elena Gonick | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 24.6% | 15.2% |
| John Holt | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 44.8% |
| Wells Drayton | 29.2% | 24.9% | 21.2% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| William Crane | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 25.0% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.