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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.83+0.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+2.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94-0.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94-1.17vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.02vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.78-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Tufts University2.830.5%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.85Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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2.83Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.98Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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4.39Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 46.9% | 28.3% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.7% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 26.6% | 18.3% |
| Wells Drayton | 19.0% | 24.0% | 24.9% | 19.4% | 10.2% | 2.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 19.8% | 22.2% | 26.5% | 20.1% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| John Holt | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 50.7% |
| William Crane | 5.0% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 29.7% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.