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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+1.43vs Predicted
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20.82+1.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+0.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.96-1.66vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.31vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.78-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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3.880.820.1%1st Place
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3.68Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.34Tufts University1.960.3%1st Place
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4.69Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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3.98Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 31.5% | 27.0% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Colin Ray | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 19.5% |
| Elena Gonick | 12.5% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 13.7% |
| Austen Freda | 32.2% | 27.6% | 21.8% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| John Holt | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 43.2% |
| William Crane | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 24.4% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.