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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+3.11vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+0.71vs Predicted
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30.82+1.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.08+0.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.96-2.28vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.67vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.78-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.71Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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4.520.820.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.72Tufts University1.960.3%1st Place
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5.33Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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4.46Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 26.5% | 25.5% | 20.2% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Colin Ray | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| John Duncan | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 11.4% |
| Austen Freda | 28.3% | 23.6% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| John Holt | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 37.9% |
| William Crane | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.