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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+4.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14+4.56vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+3.68vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.84vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+2.99vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.63vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-1.43vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-3.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31+0.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-2.95vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.97-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-4.63vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-8.22vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.72-0.67vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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12.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.02Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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16.33Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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14.14Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.9% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Mack Fox | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Conner Harding | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 6.3% |
| Brendan Read | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 13.6% | 60.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 24.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.