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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+2.85vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.00+3.83vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.19vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+3.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.84+1.58vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.00+3.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.66-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-2.83vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.61-2.65vs Predicted
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11Clemson University2.20+0.54vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82-5.23vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.64-0.11vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.82-2.58vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-9.42vs Predicted
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17Washington College3.65-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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5.83College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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7.19SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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7.6University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.58Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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9.33Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.35Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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11.54Clemson University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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12.89Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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6.58Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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7.06Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 22.0% | 18.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 9.5% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Todd | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 21.5% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 24.7% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.