Race 5B

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rebecca Jackson 10.6% 12.3% 10.1% 12.4% 11.5% 13.2% 10.6% 9.4% 6.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Tanya Cuprak 23.0% 21.9% 15.2% 13.7% 11.0% 7.0% 5.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 13.0% 11.7% 12.4% 12.6% 11.6% 12.5% 12.5% 7.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
John Joseph 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 5.5% 7.7% 8.8% 10.7% 14.5% 16.3% 14.1% 9.4% 2.5%
Sean Andrew 4.6% 5.7% 6.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 12.0% 14.8% 14.8% 9.2% 4.9% 1.7%
Matt Johnson 12.3% 11.7% 11.9% 13.3% 12.2% 11.8% 10.0% 8.6% 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Mackenzie Spencer 14.1% 11.4% 14.6% 11.4% 12.1% 9.8% 11.6% 7.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Robert Keller 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.3% 8.6% 13.3% 16.6% 17.4% 8.0% 4.9%
Natalie Salk 12.5% 14.0% 17.8% 12.2% 11.6% 11.3% 8.8% 6.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Morrissey 0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 1.9% 4.2% 7.6% 13.1% 25.7% 38.7%
Marshall McLean 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 2.7% 3.2% 4.2% 5.6% 8.1% 13.1% 21.1% 22.8% 14.7%
Christopher Calahan 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 3.2% 7.5% 14.2% 26.6% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.