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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+4.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.85vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+6.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.24+6.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.49+4.13vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15-0.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-3.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+1.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.78vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.29vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.01-4.16vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.97-8.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-4.32vs Predicted
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16Boston College-0.06-3.70vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Bowdoin College1.8411.6%1st Place
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6.85Brown University1.858.4%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University1.223.8%1st Place
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4.7Harvard University2.1717.3%1st Place
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11.72University of Vermont0.241.9%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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11.13Roger Williams University0.493.3%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University1.156.7%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College1.719.8%1st Place
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11.59University of Rhode Island0.122.4%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.6%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.6%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University1.015.1%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University1.979.7%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.9%1st Place
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12.3Boston College-0.061.5%1st Place
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13.42Boston University-0.481.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 17.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Emma Wang | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 17.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.