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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+5.60vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+3.56vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.73+14.54vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+8.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+8.97vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+0.03vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+3.12vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.02+7.34vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon2.51+9.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69+1.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.60+7.04vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.07+3.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-6.25vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-3.30vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.05-5.58vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.62-4.36vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California3.16-2.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine2.79-1.54vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.34-5.14vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego2.19+0.23vs Predicted
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21University of Hawaii3.23-6.76vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis1.68+0.45vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University2.02-1.73vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University2.22-3.74vs Predicted
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25University of Notre Dame1.25-0.35vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-3.18vs Predicted
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27Texas A&M University1.27-2.35vs Predicted
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28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-15.22vs Predicted
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30California State University Channel Islands2.77-12.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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17.54Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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12.13College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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10.12Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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15.34Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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18.3University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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11.53Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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18.04University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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15.44Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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10.7California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.0%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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16.46University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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13.86U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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20.23University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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22.45University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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21.27Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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20.26Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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24.65University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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22.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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24.65Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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17.31California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Mac Mace | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| George Saunders | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Colin Kincaid | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| William Petersen | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Brandon Wood | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 28.2% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
| Robert Long | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 26.6% |
| Eric Horrocks | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.