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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.30+2.67vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.01-0.36vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.74-0.22vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.05+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.98-0.23vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-1.64-1.85vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-2.29-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Fairfield University0.5943.8%1st Place
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4.67University of New Hampshire-1.305.8%1st Place
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2.64McGill University0.0126.2%1st Place
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3.78Fairfield University-0.7410.5%1st Place
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5.78Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.053.8%1st Place
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5.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.983.2%1st Place
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5.15Salve Regina University-1.644.5%1st Place
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6.23Sacred Heart University-2.292.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 43.8% | 29.5% | 16.2% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 5.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Richards | 26.2% | 25.6% | 22.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Cronin | 10.5% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Owen Miller | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 24.3% |
| Maisey Jobson | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 22.4% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.2% |
| Conor Grew | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.