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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+6.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+6.52vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+4.18vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.70+6.33vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+1.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.39vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.14-0.48vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-0.96vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81-0.89vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.99vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-4.12vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.30vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.59-1.55vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.68vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.31-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.18Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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4.66Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.18Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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16.3Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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14.45Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 18.5% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Mott Blair | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 17.1% | 57.4% |
| Joey Lark | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 24.1% | 22.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.