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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+6.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+6.59vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.27vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+1.93vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.78vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31+4.94vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12+0.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.14-0.45vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.24-5.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.13vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.49vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-2.96vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.590.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.62vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.29vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.91-7.22vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.70-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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4.82Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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12.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.0Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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16.29Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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9.78Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Conner Harding | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.5% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 4.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
| Brendan Read | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 22.7% | 18.2% |
| Mack Fox | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mott Blair | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 15.4% | 58.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.