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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+7.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.85vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+4.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+1.40vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+2.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.70+1.48vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.31+2.22vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-1.27vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-4.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-5.44vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.81-4.26vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.14-6.38vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.67vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.59-2.57vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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4.85Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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12.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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14.43Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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16.15Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.0% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.5% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 25.7% | 21.2% |
| Mott Blair | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 17.5% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.