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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+7.52vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.33vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.96vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+4.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+7.04vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.31+6.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+0.30vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14+0.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-2.01vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81+0.29vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-1.15vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.62vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-6.39vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.24-10.36vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.32vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-7.33vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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12.05Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.99Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.29Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.53Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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4.64Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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16.32Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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14.2Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 6.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 6.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Mack Fox | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.8% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 15.5% | 59.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Joey Lark | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 25.1% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.