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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+5.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.76vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+4.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+2.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+2.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.73vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+1.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.15vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.14-1.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-1.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.81vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.72+2.13vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.56-8.07vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.76-5.75vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-2.05vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.31-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.76Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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12.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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16.13Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.95Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Mack Fox | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mott Blair | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 18.6% | 52.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Anthony Root | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 27.9% | 28.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.