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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+7.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.70+8.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+3.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14+2.65vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76+2.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.38vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-1.98vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31+1.02vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-2.39vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-3.21vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.12vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.56-8.08vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.12-7.16vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-2.06vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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4.77Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.61Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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14.94Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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16.12Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mack Fox | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Root | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 26.4% | 27.1% |
| Mott Blair | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 20.2% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.