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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+5.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+4.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+3.07vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.66vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.23-1.13vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-0.19vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.14-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.76-1.94vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-6.15vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-2.79vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.98vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.85vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.03-1.59vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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4.61Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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11.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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15.98Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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15.41Boston University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.74Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Conner Harding | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Read | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Mott Blair | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 21.3% | 45.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Erica Brown | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 25.8% | 32.8% |
| Joey Lark | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.