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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.65vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+4.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+5.48vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+2.78vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+4.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.44vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.03+8.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.00vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.52vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-2.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-2.89vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.05vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.12-4.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-2.80vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.76-5.27vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.72-0.05vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.70-6.81vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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15.25Boston University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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15.95Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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13.73Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 17.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Erica Brown | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 24.7% | 32.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 5.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Brendan Read | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 45.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.