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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+4.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+2.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81+0.52vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.38+4.54vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31+0.63vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-5.04vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.14-4.84vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.52vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.03+0.25vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-9.09vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.04vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.70-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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14.54Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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15.25Boston University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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15.96Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Anthony Root | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 17.0% | 23.9% | 18.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Erica Brown | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 25.1% | 27.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 44.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.