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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+0.97vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.74+1.67vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.01-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.30+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.98+0.78vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.64-0.80vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-2.29-0.77vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.05-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Fairfield University0.5943.8%1st Place
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3.67Fairfield University-0.7412.9%1st Place
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2.66McGill University0.0124.4%1st Place
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4.66University of New Hampshire-1.306.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.983.8%1st Place
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5.2Salve Regina University-1.644.0%1st Place
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6.23Sacred Heart University-2.292.2%1st Place
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5.83Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.052.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 43.8% | 29.9% | 15.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 12.9% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Richards | 24.4% | 27.1% | 23.3% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Peterson | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| Maisey Jobson | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 22.9% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 11.9% |
| Conor Grew | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 32.8% |
| Owen Miller | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.