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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.16vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+4.08vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.62+9.26vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.89+1.95vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+1.73vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.02+9.54vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+3.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+5.94vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.79+7.69vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64+1.91vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.69+0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California3.16+2.93vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-2.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-1.30vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley2.60+2.85vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+5.99vs Predicted
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17Stanford University4.05-7.27vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.07-3.18vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego2.19+1.52vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University2.22+0.14vs Predicted
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21U. S. Naval Academy3.34-7.33vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis1.68+0.44vs Predicted
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23Fordham University2.73-5.65vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon2.51-5.35vs Predicted
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25Western Washington University2.02-3.75vs Predicted
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26University of Hawaii3.23-11.34vs Predicted
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27Texas A&M University1.27-2.31vs Predicted
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28University of Notre Dame1.25-3.69vs Predicted
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30California State University Channel Islands2.77-12.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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5.95Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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15.54Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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10.13Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.94University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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16.69University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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11.91College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.68Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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10.75California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.0%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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17.85University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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21.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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9.73Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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14.82Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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20.52University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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20.14Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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13.67U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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22.44University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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17.35Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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18.65University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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21.25Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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14.66University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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24.69Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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24.31University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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17.47California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mac Mace | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kelly | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Horrocks | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Brandon Wood | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Lee | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Bryan Rust | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| William Petersen | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 26.7% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 26.8% |
| Gregory Dair | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.