← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.56+5.91vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.24+2.62vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.53+4.03vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.30vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.48+2.04vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.12+2.39vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.35+0.46vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.23-0.14vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.81+0.54vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.70-0.89vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.93-2.57vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.31-1.71vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.55vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.14-6.76vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.38-1.48vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.04vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.03-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.91Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
4.62Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.03Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.04Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.39Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.46Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.86Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.54Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
10.11University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.43University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.29Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
11.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.24Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
14.52Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
-
15.96Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
15.16Boston University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Root | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 22.0% | 18.7% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 22.1% | 44.9% |
| Erica Brown | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 26.1% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.