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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+6.02vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.12vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+5.24vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.46vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.31+6.57vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81+3.80vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20+5.16vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70+2.18vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.49vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-0.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-1.73vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.24-7.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.57vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.12-5.72vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.21vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.93vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-9.75vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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12.16Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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4.81Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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16.21Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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12.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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14.03Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 7.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 4.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 6.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.1% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.5% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 57.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.