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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.96+7.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.85vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+5.47vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.75+4.56vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.45+4.76vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.06+1.44vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.23+2.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-1.81vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-2.43vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.13-3.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-6.66vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39+0.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-4.68vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-1.32vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.63-0.24vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.78-4.37vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.39-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.34Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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13.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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15.76Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Matt Safford | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 16.2% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 15.7% |
| Ellis Heminway | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 49.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 9.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.