← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.72+4.26vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.90+6.27vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.06+4.60vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.13+3.05vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.45+4.76vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.39+7.74vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.84+1.24vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.75+0.61vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.96-1.27vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.09-2.45vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.78+1.56vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.00vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.23-2.48vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island3.09-6.91vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-5.49vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.19vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.63-1.23vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.39-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.26Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.27Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.6Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.05Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
9.76Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
13.74Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.24Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
8.61Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.73Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.55Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
12.56Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
10.52University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.09University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
-
13.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
-
15.77Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
-
9.94Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 20.6% | 16.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Matt Safford | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| Ellis Heminway | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 17.5% | 48.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.