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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+7.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+5.05vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.96+5.22vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+3.43vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.33vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.75+2.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+2.73vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+5.69vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.90-0.80vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45+0.31vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.06-3.30vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-4.15vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-2.22vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.38vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.15vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.72-10.71vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.78-4.25vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.63-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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13.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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13.85Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.29Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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15.64Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matt Safford | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 18.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 9.1% |
| Ellis Heminway | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.