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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+5.13vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+5.70vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.38vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.82vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.06+1.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+0.33vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.75+0.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+0.75vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+3.96vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-3.40vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+2.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.90-4.87vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.96-6.33vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-5.06vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.23-5.04vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.63-3.82vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.63-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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14.07Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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13.18Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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15.58Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Matt Safford | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 21.8% | 15.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 20.6% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 11.0% |
| Ellis Heminway | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.