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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+7.73vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.75+7.14vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.96+5.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90+4.19vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.37vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.06+1.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+2.80vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-1.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.20vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39+4.03vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-3.38vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-3.06vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.72-7.80vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-6.75vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.63-1.93vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.13vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.63-1.19vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.05-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.37Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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14.03Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.2Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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13.07Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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13.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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15.81Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Matt Safford | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 9.6% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 16.3% |
| Ellis Heminway | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 47.8% |
| Colin Richards | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.