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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.57vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+6.71vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.75+6.16vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.06+3.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.57vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.96+1.02vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82+0.55vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39+4.88vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90-1.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-1.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-4.74vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-5.58vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-2.67vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.78-2.40vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-8.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.02vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.63-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.26Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.88Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.6Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.6Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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13.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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15.7Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matt Safford | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 16.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Colin Richards | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Caleb Niles | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| Ellis Heminway | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.