← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.59+0.96vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire-1.30+2.63vs Predicted
-
3McGill University0.01-0.38vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University-0.74-0.26vs Predicted
-
5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.05+0.92vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.98-0.29vs Predicted
-
7Sacred Heart University-2.29-0.81vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University-1.64-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96Fairfield University0.5943.2%1st Place
-
4.63University of New Hampshire-1.306.6%1st Place
-
2.62McGill University0.0125.5%1st Place
-
3.74Fairfield University-0.7411.4%1st Place
-
5.92Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.052.9%1st Place
-
5.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.983.2%1st Place
-
6.19Sacred Heart University-2.292.6%1st Place
-
5.23Salve Regina University-1.644.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 43.2% | 30.9% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Andrew Richards | 25.5% | 27.0% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Cronin | 11.4% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Owen Miller | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 25.9% |
| Maisey Jobson | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| Conor Grew | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 33.5% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 4.5% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.