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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.13vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+9.15vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.89+2.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+2.53vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+5.63vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+5.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.13vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.22+11.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.60vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon1.97+10.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.23+2.28vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.57+4.56vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-2.63vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-5.53vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-6.91vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley2.60+0.77vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.34-5.03vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+3.23vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University3.07-5.21vs Predicted
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21Texas A&M University1.27+3.01vs Predicted
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22Fordham University2.73-5.58vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego1.57+0.11vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis1.68-1.43vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine2.79-8.40vs Predicted
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26Connecticut College3.02-10.47vs Predicted
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27University of Notre Dame1.25-2.61vs Predicted
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28Western Washington University2.02-7.46vs Predicted
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30California State University Channel Islands2.77-12.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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11.15College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.53Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.63California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.0%1st Place
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11.32Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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19.52Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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20.79University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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14.28University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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17.56University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.47Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.09Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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17.77University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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12.97U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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22.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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14.79Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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24.01Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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16.42Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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23.11University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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22.57University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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16.6University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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15.53Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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24.39University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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20.54Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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17.04California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 11.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Eric Horrocks | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% |
| George Saunders | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Long | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 21.6% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% |
| Colin Kincaid | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Wells Bacon | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 25.5% |
| Bryan Rust | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Gregory Dair | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.