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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.96+7.34vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+6.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+4.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.35vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+7.99vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.06+0.69vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.90+0.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+0.81vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.78+2.89vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-3.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-4.62vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.63+2.66vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.23-3.26vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-7.15vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-8.37vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.94vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.75-9.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.65Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.35Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.99Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.22Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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15.66Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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14.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.1% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 22.2% | 17.5% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 9.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ellis Heminway | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 47.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 18.6% |
| Matt Safford | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.