Race 10B

78th-schell

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Cameron Holley 8.1% 8.0% 9.1% 7.5% 6.5% 8.6% 7.1% 7.9% 6.4% 6.9% 5.0% 5.1% 4.7% 3.2% 2.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Peter Lynn 4.9% 4.3% 6.9% 6.1% 6.4% 7.0% 7.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.8% 6.7% 4.8% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Sam Morrell 6.8% 5.6% 6.8% 8.3% 6.9% 6.0% 7.1% 8.7% 7.0% 6.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 5.4% 3.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Ragna Agerup 15.1% 13.0% 12.4% 9.4% 9.9% 8.8% 6.5% 6.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.1% 2.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Nicolas Hernandez 7.2% 8.9% 8.3% 7.4% 7.7% 6.2% 7.3% 7.4% 7.5% 5.1% 6.1% 5.4% 4.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Dakota Northrup 7.4% 7.6% 6.9% 7.7% 8.7% 6.8% 7.5% 6.1% 6.9% 7.5% 5.2% 4.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Spencer Cartwright 7.3% 7.4% 9.5% 7.0% 6.5% 5.9% 7.3% 6.7% 7.2% 6.0% 7.4% 5.6% 5.2% 3.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Ivan Shestopalov 6.3% 8.4% 6.0% 8.2% 7.0% 7.1% 6.7% 6.4% 6.5% 5.6% 6.3% 6.3% 5.1% 5.8% 4.4% 2.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Ellis Heminway 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 1.3% 1.6% 0.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 3.5% 5.7% 7.9% 16.6% 50.5%
Henry Burnes 5.8% 5.9% 5.2% 5.1% 5.2% 6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 7.2% 8.0% 6.1% 4.7% 4.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Andrew Widmeier 5.1% 3.9% 3.2% 6.4% 3.1% 4.9% 4.4% 6.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.7% 6.3% 6.9% 9.6% 6.8% 6.2% 4.7% 2.0%
Thomas Whittemore 5.2% 5.8% 4.9% 5.9% 6.1% 6.9% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.4% 5.7% 7.5% 4.9% 2.1% 1.1%
Caleb Niles 2.6% 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 3.9% 2.4% 3.0% 2.9% 3.7% 5.3% 3.9% 5.4% 5.3% 9.8% 8.7% 14.3% 13.5% 9.3%
Jennifer Killian 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 1.9% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.8% 6.4% 7.5% 13.3% 21.6% 15.5%
Jack McGraw 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 7.1% 7.6% 8.4% 7.0% 5.4% 7.4% 5.8% 6.0% 7.1% 5.2% 3.9% 6.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Cameron Nash 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 3.7% 4.2% 4.4% 3.9% 5.1% 4.2% 5.7% 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 8.6% 3.3%
Matt Safford 5.2% 6.4% 4.5% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 7.8% 6.7% 6.0% 5.9% 7.4% 5.4% 7.1% 6.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 0.3%
Christos Karplus 2.3% 0.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 1.1% 2.7% 2.7% 3.5% 5.1% 6.0% 6.0% 9.7% 15.7% 18.7% 15.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.