Race 11B

78th-schell

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Spencer Cartwright 6.9% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 6.6% 8.7% 6.6% 6.4% 7.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.2% 5.3% 5.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Henry Burnes 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 7.1% 6.9% 6.0% 7.4% 7.3% 8.1% 6.8% 7.8% 5.6% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Sam Morrell 6.6% 5.9% 6.4% 8.1% 7.1% 6.6% 7.7% 7.1% 8.0% 7.1% 6.7% 5.6% 6.0% 5.5% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Peter Lynn 6.4% 7.2% 6.3% 6.7% 5.6% 5.7% 6.9% 8.3% 6.1% 6.4% 6.5% 7.1% 5.6% 5.0% 5.5% 2.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Dakota Northrup 7.6% 9.6% 6.8% 7.6% 6.7% 7.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.1% 6.1% 6.4% 5.2% 4.2% 5.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Ragna Agerup 13.8% 11.7% 13.0% 10.9% 10.6% 7.5% 7.7% 5.4% 4.6% 4.8% 3.8% 3.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 8.3% 9.5% 7.8% 7.7% 7.0% 7.2% 8.6% 8.4% 8.0% 5.9% 5.4% 4.7% 4.6% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack McGraw 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.8% 5.2% 7.3% 6.9% 7.2% 6.2% 7.4% 6.2% 5.8% 6.9% 5.1% 3.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Nicolas Hernandez 6.9% 9.2% 6.9% 7.0% 8.5% 6.9% 9.2% 6.1% 7.8% 5.6% 7.0% 6.4% 5.2% 3.0% 1.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 1.6% 1.0% 2.0% 1.0% 2.3% 1.8% 1.3% 2.6% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 3.9% 5.1% 7.4% 10.2% 14.8% 19.2% 17.5%
Andrew Widmeier 5.0% 3.7% 4.7% 3.9% 5.1% 4.0% 4.8% 5.7% 7.4% 6.6% 5.9% 7.3% 8.6% 8.4% 8.1% 4.6% 4.0% 2.2%
Christian Filter 6.2% 6.6% 5.0% 5.4% 8.4% 7.1% 6.3% 6.1% 7.3% 6.0% 6.3% 8.3% 6.2% 5.0% 4.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Ivan Shestopalov 8.0% 5.7% 7.8% 7.6% 6.0% 8.0% 5.5% 8.7% 6.0% 7.2% 7.4% 5.3% 5.5% 4.2% 3.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Thomas Whittemore 5.6% 5.9% 7.9% 6.7% 7.1% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 5.8% 6.9% 5.8% 7.4% 6.4% 6.0% 5.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.5%
Christos Karplus 1.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 1.9% 3.4% 3.8% 4.3% 5.8% 8.6% 10.7% 13.3% 18.3% 15.4%
Peter Schneider 1.9% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 5.4% 7.6% 10.5% 10.1% 13.9% 13.2% 8.6%
Santiago Hirschmann 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.7% 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 8.2% 11.2% 13.8% 16.6% 10.8%
Ellis Heminway 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.4% 7.4% 12.1% 17.2% 43.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.