Race 12B

78th-schell

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Jack McGraw 6.4% 5.8% 6.9% 6.4% 7.0% 6.2% 6.4% 6.9% 6.9% 6.8% 6.1% 6.6% 5.2% 6.2% 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Cameron Holley 7.1% 7.4% 6.9% 9.6% 9.1% 7.3% 7.7% 6.6% 7.5% 6.7% 7.6% 4.6% 4.6% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Nicolas Hernandez 7.2% 7.7% 7.5% 7.1% 6.7% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 7.6% 6.9% 6.6% 5.8% 6.1% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Thomas Whittemore 5.9% 7.1% 6.4% 5.8% 6.1% 5.4% 5.9% 7.0% 5.8% 6.9% 6.7% 8.5% 5.2% 6.1% 5.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Sam Morrell 7.0% 9.0% 7.6% 6.6% 7.2% 7.8% 6.2% 6.0% 7.1% 6.7% 6.3% 5.5% 5.3% 5.2% 3.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Henry Burnes 5.7% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 7.2% 6.7% 7.2% 6.2% 6.0% 6.2% 6.7% 6.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Jennifer Killian 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 4.6% 7.3% 10.1% 14.0% 19.4% 16.4%
Dakota Northrup 7.1% 9.1% 7.2% 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 6.1% 6.1% 7.1% 6.7% 5.7% 6.2% 6.0% 4.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Spencer Cartwright 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 6.8% 8.0% 6.1% 6.7% 6.3% 7.5% 4.9% 3.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Christian Filter 7.0% 5.2% 5.9% 6.8% 7.1% 5.4% 7.4% 7.1% 6.1% 7.8% 7.5% 6.8% 5.2% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Peter Lynn 5.7% 6.7% 7.4% 5.7% 5.4% 5.6% 5.7% 7.6% 7.7% 6.0% 7.0% 6.4% 7.3% 6.4% 4.4% 2.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Andrew Widmeier 4.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 5.8% 7.6% 8.3% 8.9% 7.5% 7.0% 5.3% 1.2%
Ragna Agerup 14.4% 12.3% 11.8% 10.8% 10.2% 9.5% 6.9% 6.3% 4.2% 3.5% 3.9% 2.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 2.2% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.1% 4.2% 6.7% 7.3% 11.7% 14.6% 15.2% 8.4%
Christos Karplus 1.4% 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.8% 6.1% 6.4% 11.6% 15.6% 16.5% 15.6%
Peter Schneider 1.8% 2.2% 1.1% 2.5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 3.0% 3.4% 3.3% 5.6% 5.3% 7.3% 8.9% 10.6% 14.6% 12.4% 9.4%
Ellis Heminway 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.4% 7.2% 9.0% 17.2% 47.1%
Ivan Shestopalov 7.0% 6.9% 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 8.7% 7.3% 5.9% 7.4% 8.1% 5.8% 5.8% 5.6% 5.4% 2.2% 1.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.