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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+6.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+5.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+5.34vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.96+3.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.48vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.44vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.24-0.18vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.63+7.58vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-0.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-1.87vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+2.71vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.78+0.72vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.84-4.81vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.72-8.97vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.06-7.51vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.16vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.45vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.74-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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15.58Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
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8.42Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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13.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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12.72Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.03Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.49Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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13.84Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ellis Heminway | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 17.7% | 45.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 14.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 17.2% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.