← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.06+6.94vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.97+6.35vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.13+4.65vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.24+2.93vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.09+2.57vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.72-0.64vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.82+1.73vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.90+0.28vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.96-0.94vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.00vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.09-3.24vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy0.63+4.03vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.78-0.42vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.80-5.44vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.84-6.51vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-6.08vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.01vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.39-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.94Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.35Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
7.65Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.93Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.57Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
5.36Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.73Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.28Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.06Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
11.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
7.76University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
16.03Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
-
12.58Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
8.56University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.49Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
-
13.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
-
13.8Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Morrell | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ellis Heminway | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 16.9% | 50.7% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 8.8% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 24.1% | 15.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.