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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.65+1.02vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.61+0.06vs Predicted
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3Loyola University New Orleans-2.00+3.20vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.000.00vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.43-0.46vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.00-2.00vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.20-3.27vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-1.27-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Tulane University1.650.4%1st Place
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2.06Tulane University1.610.4%1st Place
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6.2Loyola University New Orleans-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.0Texas A&M University0.000.1%1st Place
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4.54Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.0Texas A&M University0.000.1%1st Place
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3.73Tulane University0.200.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Texas-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caelan Watts | 41.3% | 29.8% | 18.5% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Mcavoy | 35.5% | 36.3% | 18.1% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Giordano | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 19.7% | 61.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 6.2% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 24.3% | 25.9% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 4.7% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 26.2% | 20.6% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 6.2% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 24.3% | 25.9% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 8.9% | 11.5% | 24.1% | 23.7% | 19.1% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hernandez | 2.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 17.6% | 35.6% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.