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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.01+1.82vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.59+0.16vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.74+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.30+1.03vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-1.64+0.44vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-2.29+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-3.10vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.05-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82McGill University0.0122.1%1st Place
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2.16Fairfield University0.5940.2%1st Place
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4.05Fairfield University-0.7410.0%1st Place
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5.03University of New Hampshire-1.305.9%1st Place
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5.44Salve Regina University-1.644.9%1st Place
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6.49Sacred Heart University-2.292.4%1st Place
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3.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5211.7%1st Place
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6.1Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.052.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Richards | 22.1% | 26.6% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 40.2% | 26.5% | 18.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Ian Peterson | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 9.6% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 22.5% | 14.7% |
| Conor Grew | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 41.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Owen Miller | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 24.0% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.