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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+4.87vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+3.82vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92+11.87vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.74+1.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.34+7.23vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.73+10.12vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01+1.40vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.07+5.60vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64+1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon1.97+9.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.88vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.69-1.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.57+8.56vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.05-5.83vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.62-4.79vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.25+7.16vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University2.02+2.21vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-6.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis1.68+2.24vs Predicted
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21University of Southern California2.57-3.33vs Predicted
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22Connecticut College3.02-7.31vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley2.60-5.36vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine2.79-7.46vs Predicted
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25California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-14.16vs Predicted
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26Texas A&M University1.27-1.52vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-4.73vs Predicted
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28Santa Clara University2.22-8.71vs Predicted
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30California State University Channel Islands2.77-13.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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5.65St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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15.87University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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13.23U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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17.12Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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14.6Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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11.51College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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20.99University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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11.03Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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22.56University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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9.17Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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24.16University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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20.21Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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12.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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22.24University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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17.67University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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14.69Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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17.64University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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16.54University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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10.84California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.0%1st Place
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24.48Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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22.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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19.29Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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16.93California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 14.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 23.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Eric Horrocks | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cody Shevitz | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Colin Kincaid | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sean Kelly | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 24.1% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| Brandon Wood | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Gregory Dair | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.