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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.65+1.01vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.61+0.06vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.43+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-1.27+1.58vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.00-1.02vs Predicted
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6Loyola University New Orleans-2.00+0.26vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.00-3.02vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.20-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Tulane University1.650.4%1st Place
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2.06Tulane University1.610.4%1st Place
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4.51Texas A&M University-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Texas-1.270.0%1st Place
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3.98Texas A&M University0.000.1%1st Place
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6.26Loyola University New Orleans-2.000.0%1st Place
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3.98Texas A&M University0.000.1%1st Place
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3.6Tulane University0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caelan Watts | 40.3% | 31.4% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Mcavoy | 36.4% | 34.7% | 19.3% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meiling Chan Chow | 4.9% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 21.0% | 27.7% | 20.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hernandez | 0.9% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 35.5% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 6.4% | 9.8% | 21.3% | 22.7% | 24.6% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Giordano | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 22.7% | 59.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 6.4% | 9.8% | 21.3% | 22.7% | 24.6% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 10.3% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 27.0% | 18.1% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.