Race 2A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cyrul 53.8% 27.3% 10.1% 5.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Pribe 6.8% 9.0% 13.0% 13.1% 15.9% 15.2% 12.1% 7.2% 6.5% 1.2%
Matthew Otenbaker 2.5% 3.4% 4.8% 5.6% 8.9% 8.5% 11.6% 17.9% 19.0% 17.8%
Nick Nowicki 1.6% 3.2% 4.4% 5.9% 8.3% 11.0% 11.7% 16.8% 18.8% 18.3%
Rachel Rantanen 15.8% 20.5% 19.9% 19.9% 11.5% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Mark Myers 3.8% 5.0% 7.5% 9.2% 10.7% 11.9% 14.8% 14.2% 14.1% 8.8%
Patrick Sawyer 2.0% 2.4% 4.8% 6.4% 7.6% 10.5% 15.1% 15.8% 17.2% 18.2%
Nick Maude 5.4% 13.1% 15.7% 13.7% 16.2% 14.0% 10.2% 6.8% 3.6% 1.3%
Samuel Ephraim 7.0% 13.8% 16.0% 15.5% 15.0% 13.3% 9.6% 6.8% 1.8% 1.2%
Emily Allen 1.3% 2.3% 3.8% 4.8% 3.9% 8.7% 11.1% 13.0% 18.1% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.